Betting on IPOs
Oct 03, 2017 | Investing Strategies
Ah, the eternal allure of the IPO… Starbucks returned a 10 bagger to early investors in just 3 years Yahoo! did it in just 2 years Amazon did it in 1 year Ebay did it in just 6 months! 1000% gains in a short period of time certainly capture the public’s imagination. But is investing in an IPO always a…
Stock Market Headwinds Building
Sep 29, 2017 | Investing Strategies
Headwinds are continuing to pick up steam for US stocks and there’s increasing evidence that the music is in danger of stopping. In this case, the music has been the declining US dollar. Since January, I’ve predicted a surge higher in the stock market based on the historical relationship between the US Dollar and the S&P 500 (SPX). The surge…
How to Beat Einhorn by 4-1
Sep 26, 2017 | Investing Strategies
David Einhorn is a great investor. He has beat the market over a long period of time. However, using the TradeStops Stock State Indicator (SSI) and Risk Rebalancer tools, Einhorn could have improved his returns by a margin of almost 4-1. Since 2002, Einhorn has gained almost 270% and beat the S&P 500 by about 20%. Had he been using…
The Most Important Chart in the World – Updated
Sep 22, 2017 | Investing Strategies
Back in October of last year we looked at what I would argue is the single most important chart in all of finance – the chart of the 30-year down trend in 10-year Treasury Note yields (T-Notes). Here’s where things stood just a little less than a year ago: The 30-year down trend in long-term interest rates is the single…
Two and a Half Times Better than Buffett
Sep 19, 2017 | Investing Strategies
Last week we continued digging into our new billionaire data set and I used that data to argue that the TradeStops Risk Rebalancer was the most powerful tool in the TradeStops toolbox. You might be inclined to disagree with my claim after you see how much value the TradeStops Stock State Indicator could have added to the billionaires’ bank accounts….
Pay Dirt in the Oil Patch?
Sep 15, 2017 | Investing Strategies
We’ve been patiently bullish for the past year on oil, and it looks like our patience is paying off. Our oil-related investment ideas are already up 10% in the past 6 weeks and there’s plenty more to come. We wrote about our reasons for being oil bulls at the end of July – and we showed you a couple of…
The Most Powerful Tool In My Toolbox
Sep 12, 2017 | Investing Strategies
Sunday night was a great reminder that there are some types of risk that we can just never comprehend until we experience them. I spent the night with all my family in one room – the room I felt was the safest in the house – furthest away from the trees and out of line of any exposed windows. The…
What’s Next for Gold?
Sep 08, 2017 | Investing Strategies
We’ve been bullish on gold since the beginning of the year. Now that the big rally we’ve been predicting has unfolded, what’s next? Our bullish case on gold has rested on four separate signals that we follow closely. The most important signal comes directly from TradeStops. The Stock State Indicator (SSI) chart shows that gold triggered a new SSI Entry…
Beating Berkowitz
Sep 05, 2017 | Investing Strategies
Morningstar named Bruce Berkowitz the mutual fund manager of the decade in 2010. Since his fund was founded in 1999, he has averaged 10% annualized gains versus only 5% for the S&P 500. Yet he could have done significantly better with the tools of TradeStops and I think you’ll agree that there’s a powerful lesson for individual investors once you…
Bullish on Bitcoin
Sep 01, 2017 | Investing Strategies
No matter what your thoughts are on Bitcoin and the other cryptocurrencies, an investor needs to be able to make an informed decision based on signals, not noise. Right now, our indicators are bullish on Bitcoin. Bitcoin was introduced in January 2009 and has been growing in popularity over the past 8 years. It’s been called everything from “the currency…
